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Opposition Scored Victory, Communists Met Defeat - Analysts

09.06.2009   Infotag  875 
Gradul ştiinţific: President of Border of Directors, Dr. in Law, MA in Political Sciences

A whole number of local political experts are unanimous in the opinion that the failed presidential election in the Moldovan Parliament and the need to hold an early parliamentary election are but a victory won by the opposition and a defeat suffered by the Communists and particularly by their leader, President of Moldova Vladimir Voronin.

The Editor-in-Chief of the oppositional Moldavskiye Vedomosti newspaper, analyst Dmitry Chubashenko said on the ProTV-Chisinau channel on Monday night that the opposition had kept their word and refrained from electing a new communist president.

Director of Radio Free Europe in Moldova Vasile Botnaru stated the chief loser in this whole story was Vladimir Voronin, "who agreed to suffer humiliation, begging from the opposition the only vote his party needed to elect a communist president".

Botnaru thinks the three parliamentary anti-communist factions "have made a worthy contribution to the development of the institution of the opposition in Moldova".

Director of the IDIS-Viitorul Institute for Development and Social Initiatives Dr. Igor Munteanu said nobody wanted an early election but the opposition just had no alternative. The proofs concerning the election results rigging, provided by the opposition, were ignored by the Communist authorities.
Yet another reason of the current political crisis is the absence of a dialog after the April 5 voting, Munteanu said.

Dmitry Chubashenko presumes that during the early election, Moldovan voters will have to make a choice much easier than in April: in the conditions of society polarization, they will have to choose a la Stendhal - "between red and black, between good and bad".

Botnaru, Munteanu and Chubashenko are skeptical about the Left-Centrist forces' ability to unite for the early election, and about the three opposition parties' ability, too. They presume, however, that two of the said three parties, namely the Liberal Democratic Party and the Moldova Noastra Alliance, could well go for the elections together. Last April 5, the two received 26 mandates in the 101-seat Parliament of Moldova.

The three analysts presume that the early parliamentary election will take place in late July - early August, and that the Communists will put their stake on a low voter turnout, i.e. below 50% plus one ballot, which is quite possible at the height of a vacation season. But at a repeated election, to be held two weeks later, the voter turnout minimum will be already 33.3%, and this will ensure more seats for the Communist Party.

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